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2024-12-13 05:02:00

Japanese enterprise survey: Enterprises believe that Trump's next presidential term will have a negative impact on the business environment, and 60% of Japanese enterprises expect that the trading range of USD/JPY will be between 140 and 150 by 2025. Half of Japanese companies expect higher profits in the next fiscal year.Morgan Stanley upgraded Dahua's rating to parity, with a target price of RMB in 19 yuan. Andy Meng, an analyst at Morgan Stanley, had a low rating. The target price is 19 yuan RMB, which is up by 12%.US stocks "Seven Sisters" | Tesla and Google A closed up more than 5%, both hitting record highs. On Wednesday (December 11), in "Magnificent 7", Tesla closed up 5.93%, refreshing the record high of closing to 424.77 US dollars; Google's parent company, Alphabet(GOOGL), closed up 5.52%, the best performance for two consecutive days since 2015-accumulated up by about 11%, refreshing the historical high of closing to 195.40 US dollars; NVIDIA rose 3.14%, Amazon rose 2.32%, Meta Platforms rose 2.16%, Microsoft rose 1.28%, and Apple closed down 0.52% from its all-time high. In addition, AMD closed up 1.89%, TSMC ADR rose 1.39%, Berkshire Hathaway B shares closed down 0.24%, and Lilly fell 0.44%.


Merger and acquisition, restructuring and opening up a new bureau, market value management has achieved results. Shanghai is a state-owned state-owned enterprise in the big game of capital market, and Shanghai is a major town of state-owned state-owned enterprises. The market value of state-owned listed companies in Shanghai has exceeded 2.7 trillion yuan, which is a powerful state-owned company in the capital market. Since the beginning of this year, Shanghai state-owned listed companies have taken the initiative to take the lead, tried first, actively reformed and innovated, decisively settled in the big chess game of the capital market, opened a new game in mergers and acquisitions, and managed the market value quite effectively, handing over a sample answer sheet. (SSE)Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Jingao Technology to over-allocation, with a target price of RMB 27.36. Tongwei shares will be upgraded to overweight with a target price of RMB 39.53.Adobe's annual performance guidance was worse than expected, and its share price fell more than 5% after hours. Adobe's adjusted EPS in the fourth quarter was $4.81, and analysts expected $4.67. Revenue in the fourth quarter was $5.61 billion, and analysts expected $5.54 billion. It is estimated that the adjusted EPS in FY 2025 will be $20.20-$20.50, and analysts expect $20.52. The adjusted EPS in the first fiscal quarter is expected to be $4.95-$5.00, and analysts expect $4.95. Adobe's U.S. stocks fell 1.81% after hours-the decline then expanded to 5.40%, and rose 0.38% before the performance report was released.


Market News: The United Nations General Assembly adopted a resolution by an overwhelming majority, demanding an immediate and unconditional permanent ceasefire in the Gaza Strip.The new format is superimposed with new links, and Zhejiang private enterprises are busy going out to sea, and Zhejiang private enterprises have become the main force of "going out to sea". Data show that from January to October this year, there were 106,000 private enterprises with import and export performance in Zhejiang Province, an increase of 8.3%; The total import and export value is 3.53 trillion yuan, accounting for 80.8% of the total import and export value of the province. Recently, the reporter learned from interviews in Ningbo, Yiwu and other places in Zhejiang that despite the severe macroeconomic situation, the advantages of industrial clusters, technology and manufacturing in China are still obvious. Many private enterprises seize the new opportunities of overseas trade, lay a solid foundation in the direction of R&D, design and brand management, and sketch a new growth curve; At the same time, under the impetus of the government, cross-border e-commerce, overseas warehouses and other new formats go hand in hand and smooth the new link of "going out to sea". (SSE)CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.

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